Michael Burry Says Tesla Is 'Ridiculously Overvalued' After Earlier Warning About The Elon 'Cult'
- - Michael Burry Says Tesla Is 'Ridiculously Overvalued' After Earlier Warning About The Elon 'Cult'
Vishaal SanjayJanuary 2, 2026 at 5:30 AM
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Investor Michael Burry is raising concerns regarding Tesla Inc.’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) valuations, especially considering its decelerating sales momentum.
Tesla Is ‘Ridiculously’ Overvalued
On Tuesday, in a post on X, Burry said, “Tesla is ridiculously overvalued,” after the company shared consensus estimates of its fourth-quarter vehicle sales on Monday, with projected figures coming in below investor expectations.
The company compiled estimates from across several prominent sell-side analysts, arriving at a broad consensus of 422,850 units for the current quarter, which is 14.93% below the prior quarter, and down 15% compared to the same period last year.
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As a result, Tesla is headed for its second consecutive drop in annual vehicle sales, with average estimates at 1,640,752 units, down 8.8%, compared to just under 1.8 million global deliveries in 2024.
Yet, the company remains the most valuable automaker in the world, with a market capitalization of $1.53 trillion, while trading at 204 times forward earnings, which is many times over the industry’s average price-to-earnings ratio of 17.47.
Burry, who rose to fame for betting against the housing market ahead of the 2008 financial crisis, has been a vocal critic of Tesla’s valuation in recent weeks.
He made the same statement in his newsletter earlier this month, while also highlighting CEO Elon Musk’s trillion-dollar pay package, which he warned would lead to stock dilution. He said that the company dilutes its shareholders by 3.6% annually, without any corresponding stock buybacks.
“As an aside, the Elon cult was all-in on electric cars until competition showed up, then all-in on autonomous driving until competition showed up, and now is all-in on robots — until competition shows up,” Burry said. He, however, noted that he does not have a short position against the company right now.
Tesla is ridiculously overvalued. pic.twitter.com/GIEmC8744Z
— Cassandra Unchained (@michaeljburry) December 30, 2025
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This Is ‘Very Unusual’ For Tesla
Fund manager and prominent Tesla analyst Gary Black said in a post on X that it was “very unusual” for Tesla to issue a press release with the quarterly sell-side consensus estimates.
“Obviously, someone at TSLA wanted the IR-derived consensus to be distributed as widely as possible,” he said, while adding that he expects the company’s fourth-quarter deliveries to be in the “420K range than the 445K range.”
This is highly unusual for $TSLA to send out a press release with quarterly consensus delivery estimates. Interestingly, Bloomberg consensus, which tends to be stale since it is depends on analysts updating their estimates in a timely manner, shows a 4Q delivery consensus of…
— Gary Black (@garyblack00) December 30, 2025
Tesla shares were down 1.17% on Tuesday, closing at $454.24, and are down 0.35% overnight. The stock scores high on Momentum and Quality in Benzinga’s Edge Stock Rankings, with a favorable price trend in the short, medium and long terms. Click here for deeper insights into the stock, its peers and competitors.
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